Who will become the 47th (the next) President of the USA?
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Donald Trump
According to https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/presidents/.
Donald Trump is 45th so he can theoretically become the 47th as well.
Joe Biden is 46th so he can't become the 47th.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Donald Trump
Yes, but if Trump wins in 2024 he'll also be considered the 47th President. So we have to add the probability of Trump winning (let's say 50%) with the chance of him running and winning in 2028, which may be small but is nonzero. Personally, I think Trump should be at 55-60% based on this
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