Jotto999 avatar
closes Dec 31
Eliezer Yudkowsky creates or reveals a public Metaculus profile before 2023?
Context: Resolves Yes if he created, or revealed, a public Metaculus profile (i.e. where he's explicit that it's his profile) before 2023, to my knowledge. Otherwise No.
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MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
bought Ṁ50 of NO

My bet: Manifold has better memes.

Nikola avatar
bought Ṁ100 of YES

Am I missing something? Isn't this Eliezer's profile?

Nikola avatar
is predicting YES at 34%

@Nikola Oh damn misread the title.