Will Iran strike the British Overseas Territory of Akrotiri and Dhekelia before 2030?
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Akrotiri and Dhekelia are a set of British military bases that are a sort of exclave on Cyprus. The RAF used them as a base to fly from when shooting down Iranian drones in April 2024.
The question will resolve YES if:
either the Iranian state conducts military strikes in these territories
or a terrorist or militia group conducts kinetic attacks and it is the opinion of Manifold that Iran was 'responsible' for it.
In the case the latter, Manifold opinion can either be taken as a consensus of market participants or as a poll with mutually agreed wording
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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