Will Crossrail 2 be approved before 2030?
7
90Ṁ125
2029
26%
chance

Crossrail 2 was a proposed railway project that aimed to connect various areas in London and the surrounding region, providing an essential transport link for commuters and residents. The project would have involved the construction of a new tunnel through London, linking stations in the north and south of the city. However, in 2020, the UK government announced the cancellation of the Crossrail 2 project due to concerns over its high cost, which was estimated to be around £40bn. The decision to cancel the project has been met with criticism, with many arguing that Crossrail 2 was necessary to address London's growing transport needs and support economic growth in the region. The cancellation has left many uncertain about how to address the issue of overcrowding on the city's transport network and has raised questions about the future of infrastructure investment in the capital. Despite the cancellation, some local leaders continue to call for the project's revival, arguing that it remains essential to the future of London's economy and transportation network.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crossrail_2#

'Approved' here means that the UK Parliament passed a bill similar to Crossrail Act 2008.

If a line is approved which broadly runs on the planned route of Crossrail 2 but does not use the name, this will resolve to YES.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules