Will a plan to connect Edinburgh to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2040?
3
70Ṁ42
2040
61%
chance

'Approved' here means that a bill was passed in the UK Parliament, similar to the High Speed Rail (London - West Midlands) Act 2017

'High-speed' is here arbitrarily defined as trains travelling over 250km/h (to capture the difference between current fast rail in the UK and planned/operational high-speed rail, ie HS1 and HS2 phase 1. Notice that by this definition domestic services on HS1 are not high-speed)

Market context
UK
Transportation
Transit
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gpt-5.2-pro gives me 32% on this one: https://imgur.com/a/4lJzcuU

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