Will Argentina attempt to invade the Falkland Islands again before 2040?
14
Ṁ1kṀ6732040
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES on British media consensus that an attempt was 'made', even if that attempt foundered before soldiers left Argentinian airspace.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If Argentina attempts to invade the Falkland Islands before 2040, will it succeed?
29% chance
Will Argentina exercise territorial control over the Falkland Islands before 2040?
9% chance
If Argentina successfully invades the Falkland Islands before 2040, will the UK regain control of them within a year?
55% chance
Will Argentina Own the Falkland Islands by 2028?
2% chance
Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?
4% chance
Will the UK and Argentina sign a sovereignty treaty over the Falkland Islands before 2040?
32% chance
Will Argentina shoot down a British plane or sink a British ship before 2040?
12% chance
Will the UK shoot down an Argentinian plane or sink an Argentinian ship before 2040?
14% chance
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9% chance
Will Argentina default before 2027?
9% chance