Will Argentina attempt to invade the Falkland Islands again before 2040?
Basic
13
Ṁ6342040
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES on British media consensus that an attempt was 'made', even if that attempt foundered before soldiers left Argentinian airspace.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
If Argentina attempts to invade the Falkland Islands before 2040, will it succeed?
40% chance
If Argentina successfully invades the Falkland Islands before 2040, will the UK regain control of them within a year?
55% chance
Will Argentina significantly escalate disputes with the UK over the Falkland Islands (Malvinas) in 2024?
16% chance
Will the UK and Argentina sign a sovereignty treaty over the Falkland Islands before 2040?
28% chance
Will Argentina exercise territorial control over the Falkland Islands before 2040?
6% chance
Will Argentina adopt the US Dollar by 2029?
31% chance
Will Argentina shoot down a British plane or sink a British ship before 2040?
15% chance
Will Argentina Own the Falkland Islands by 2028?
2% chance
Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?
5% chance
Will Argentina win the 2024 Olympic men's soccer gold medal?
29% chance