If Argentina attempts to invade the Falkland Islands before 2040, will it succeed?
3
90Ṁ302040
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES on British media consensus that Argentina seized and held the Falkland Islands for at least a week.
Resolves NO on British media consensus that Argentina attempted to invade and failed, even if that attempt foundered before soldiers left Argentinian airspace.
Otherwise resolves NA
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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