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Will any military vessel of more than 15,000 tonnes be lost at sea before 2036?
6
Ṁ130Ṁ34
2036
53%
chance

'more than 15,000 tonnes' - ships tend to be listed with a range of tonnage, due to the range of equipment and load they can carry. If the top end of the range exceeds 15,000 tonnes this qualifies.

'Lost at sea' is defined as an unintentional sinking, potentially due to hostile action but potentially due to bad weather or poor maintenance/accidents.

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