The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2026
6
Ṁ90Ṁ3642027
8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Due to any enemy action, it has to sink, be destroyed or inoperable. Hacking type attacks count if the ship is abandoned and can't be piloted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran sink a US Navy vessel (surface or submarine) before June 1st 2026?
5% chance
The USA loses an aircraft carrier through mid 2026
13% chance
The USA loses an aircraft carrier through 2030
40% chance
The USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028
12% chance
Will any aircraft carrier be lost at sea before 2036?
42% chance
Will at least 3 F-35s be lost by the US in 2026
47% chance
[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?
22% chance
[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?
41% chance
Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
15% chance
Will the US Navy continue their streak of never having a nuclear accident at the end of 2026?
95% chance