Which of Taiwan/ROC's 'diplomatic allies' will 'flip' to the PRC before 2028?
4
74
Ṁ123Ṁ400
2027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
50%
Belize
20%
Eswatini
50%
Guatemala
65%
Haiti
50%
Marshall Islands
34%
Palau
51%
Paraguay
50%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
50%
Saint Lucia
20%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
66%
Tuvalu
31%
Vatican City
After a period of detente in the Ma Ying-jeou years, Taiwan/ROC lost seven 'allies' to the PRC in Tsai's first term and two in her second term.
After the DPP won a third term, Nauru immediately flipped.
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On careful reflection, I don't think so. The nature of the relationship is somewhat ambiguous and potentially outside of One China considerations.
Crucially, ROC MOFA doesn't list the country as such:
@TrickyDuck your comment is a useful reminder though that Somaliland should be considered and possibly question structures adopted that allow its inclusion
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