Which of Taiwan/ROC's 'diplomatic allies' will 'flip' to the PRC before 2028?
7
Ṁ400Ṁ424resolved May 25
ResolvedN/A
Resolved
N/APalau
Resolved
N/AMarshall Islands
Resolved
N/AHaiti
Resolved
N/AParaguay
Resolved
N/ASaint Kitts and Nevis
Resolved
N/ASaint Lucia
Resolved
N/ASaint Vincent and the Grenadines
Resolved
N/ATuvalu
Resolved
N/AVatican City
Resolved
N/AEswatini
Resolved
N/AGuatemala
Resolved
N/ABelize
After a period of detente in the Ma Ying-jeou years, Taiwan/ROC lost seven 'allies' to the PRC in Tsai's first term and two in her second term.
After the DPP won a third term, Nauru immediately flipped.
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On careful reflection, I don't think so. The nature of the relationship is somewhat ambiguous and potentially outside of One China considerations.
Crucially, ROC MOFA doesn't list the country as such:
@TrickyDuck your comment is a useful reminder though that Somaliland should be considered and possibly question structures adopted that allow its inclusion
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