How many Starship launches will there be in 2024?

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Ṁ27kDec 31

1.3%

1-3

95%

2-4

98.4%

3-5

98.4%

4-6

6%

5-7

1.6%

6+

Resolved

NO0-2

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Launch is defined as: countdown reaches zero on a launch attempt and engines ignition

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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What is your definition of a 'starship'?

In my mind a 'ship' can carry people, and landers/rovers/probes and not 'ships', even if they (say) get a machine from Earth to Mars. Do they count as 'ships' to you?

And a 'starship' perhaps implies being able to go to another star-system, as opposed to merely travelling within our own solar system. (But I gather you don't intend that?)

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