By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?
10
370
Ṁ206Ṁ190
2049
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Thinking of those countries in South Asia and the Middle East that will likely be getting regular lethal wet bulb temperatures, or those coastal countries that will likely lose land to sea level rises
This will resolve to some extent on consensus, but such a war would be characterized by the seizing, or failure to seize, of cooler or higher territory.
Presumably before (and after) would be characterized by wet bulb events, or coastal flooding. It seems fair to expect that there would also be a public media debate about the need for such action, at least in countries with a free press.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
@CromlynGames only if the downstream country is attempting to seize and hold territory related to the dam
Related questions
Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?
35% chance
Will there be a martian colony by 2050?
34% chance
Will the USA fight a major land war by 2035?
40% chance
Will a major world war occur before the end of 2050?
40% chance
Will Earth be a utopia for humans in the year 2100?
29% chance
Which country will lose territory to a newly founded country by 2050? [add responses]
Will two countries led by women engage in war before 2100?
59% chance
By 2050, will any territory that was administered by Russia in 2013 be administered by China instead?
34% chance
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
27% chance
Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?
45% chance