Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?
Plus
14
Ṁ3722029
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
'NATO soldier' = member of the armed forces of a NATO member state (please note this includes navy, marines and air force personnel, i was just trying to be succinct in the question)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?
40% chance
Will the first confirmed capture of a North Korean soldier by Ukrainian forces occur before the end of 2024?
39% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?
38% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?
26% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031?
39% chance
Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
29% chance
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?
36% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2030?
28% chance
Will a soldier from a NATO country be confirmed killed in action inside Ukraine during 2024?
7% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035?
37% chance