ChatGPT has been the #1 free app for some time now. Will it still be #1 on March 31? Resolves based on https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-free. If ChatGPT is ranked as #1 the first time I access the page on 2026-03-31, ET, likely between 6am and 12pm, Resolves YES. If a different app is ranked #1, Resolves NO. If the URL is unavailable for some reason, I will check the Top Free Apps list on my iPhone, which generally displays the same list. If the list on my phone is also unavailable for some reason, and there is no good-faith ability to retrieve the ranking on that day, Resolves N/A.

Yes — resolved on Mar 31, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.

MANIFOLD

Will ChatGPT be the top free app in the Apple app store on March 31, 2026? (US)

Ṁ300Ṁ689

resolved Mar 31

Resolved

YES

ALL

ChatGPT has been the #1 free app for some time now. Will it still be #1 on March 31?

Resolves based on https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-free.

If ChatGPT is ranked as #1 the first time I access the page on 2026-03-31, ET, likely between 6am and 12pm, Resolves YES.
If a different app is ranked #1, Resolves NO.
If the URL is unavailable for some reason, I will check the Top Free Apps list on my iPhone, which generally displays the same list.
If the list on my phone is also unavailable for some reason, and there is no good-faith ability to retrieve the ranking on that day, Resolves N/A.

Market context

Technology

OpenAI

ChatGPT

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ40
2		Ṁ31
3		Ṁ26
4		Ṁ20
5		Ṁ19

People are also trading

Will Chat GPT 6 release before the end of 2026?

70% chance

Will ChatGPT have ads before the end of 2026?

98% chance

Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?

33% chance

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

58% chance

Will Chat GPT 7 release before the end of 2027?

32% chance

Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?

38% chance

5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"

89% chance

Sort by:

ChatGPT remains on top with two days to go

iNaturalist on top today.. not sure what spiked that one

ChatGPT back on top

ChatGPT back on top. 10 days to go

CBS Sports is on top this morning

Two sports apps ahead of ChatGPT this morning (March Madness effect)

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 64% order

ChatGPT back on top this morning. Claude at #2

Today is the 7th day in a row Claude has been on top and ChatGPT has been at #2.

24 days til the end of the month.

@traders

ChatGPT has been #2 for 4 days in a row as Claude remains on top. Most significant development since this market was created. Is it a prolonged spike or will it hold?

27 days til the end of the month.