Will @MarcusAbramovitch win the $900-$100 bet vs @RobertCousineau about Threads not overtaking X/Twitter in DAU by 2025? | Manifold

Will @MarcusAbramovitch win the $900-$100 bet vs @RobertCousineau about Threads not overtaking X/Twitter in DAU by 2025?

Plus

18

Ṁ1998

Jan 1

97%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves based on the real money bet between Marcus and Robert from episode 4 of Manifold LIve, based on this market:

Marcus is betting the market will resolve no, Robert is betting it will resolve yes. So this market should be the inverse of the original market.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Title is backwards.

@IsaacKing Oh good catch, thank you

@IsaacKing Is it correct now? I am trying to bet NO on "Threads does not overtake Twitter." Also I missed the show but I'm assuming if Twitter is kaput and Threads isn't then Threads overtakes Twitter, if they're both kaput then Threads does not overtake.

@ClubmasterTransparent This is an inverse of the original market. Bet yes if you think X stays ahead of Threads, bet no if you think Threads overtakes twitter.

Related questions

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Will @PeterMillerc030 bet at least $1000 USD against @EliezerYudkowsky on the origins of Covid19 before 2025?

Will Manifold surpass Metaculus in DAUs by 2025?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?

Will William MacAskill win the bet he places on this question?

Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in the 2024 ACX Contest?

Will Steven N Austad win his bet against Jay Olshansky on whether there will be a 150 year old human by 2150?

Trader Profit @MarcusAbramovitch will have at the end of 2024

Will Tamay Besiroglu win his Deep Learning vs Program Synthesis bet with Mike Knoop?

Related questions

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Will William MacAskill win the bet he places on this question?

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in the 2024 ACX Contest?

Will @PeterMillerc030 bet at least $1000 USD against @EliezerYudkowsky on the origins of Covid19 before 2025?

Will Steven N Austad win his bet against Jay Olshansky on whether there will be a 150 year old human by 2150?

Will Manifold surpass Metaculus in DAUs by 2025?

Trader Profit @MarcusAbramovitch will have at the end of 2024

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?

Will Tamay Besiroglu win his Deep Learning vs Program Synthesis bet with Mike Knoop?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules