Will the "Destruction of a Nuclear Bomb Using Ultra-High Energy Neutrino Beam" occur before 2034?
19
1kṀ1016
2034
3%
chance

Context:

The pre-print, which is from 2003 but went viral today, proposes a massive simultaneous disarming of all nuclear weapons on earth at once.

This question will resolve yes if even a single nuclear weapon is confirmed to have been disarmed/destroyed by a neutrino beam before 2034 as described in the pre-print. A successful test would still count.

Resolution will be based on a consensus of reliable media reports. Question may resolve to "no" early if the entire concept is definitively debunked as being literally physically impossible due to some flaw in the science. As judgment of any such debunking is subjective, I will not trade in this market.

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