Who will get third place in the Republican New Hampshire Primary?
Standard
70
Ṁ70k
resolved Jan 24
100%98%
Ron Desantis
0.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1.1%
Ryan L. Binkley
0.1%
Chris Christie
0.5%
Joe Biden
0.0%
"Ceasefire"
0.1%
Mike Pence
0.0%
Asa Hutchinson
0.1%Other

/MarkHamill/will-ron-desantis-be-one-of-the-top-adf818961b2d

Sample Ballot

Includes all candidates, even those who have dropped out.

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Ṁ1,000
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The original market resolved, so doing this one too. Can re-resolve if there's some upset but Ron is more than double Christie right now.

Tiny D’s on the board

Binkley is going to come in fifth.

1,000 limit YES 7% Joe biden @Lion

@SteveMahoney put 3k in

@SteveMahoney maybe @Shump is interested as well

@Lion i'm trying to hedge some of the risks for my desantis position in the other market lol

@SteveMahoney Sorry, M$6.5k is all for now

@Lion No problem at all. Thank you!

Arb with fourth place?

Joe Biden

He finished 10th place in the 2020 GOP primary.

@thepurplebull 10th, not 3rd

@Lion But I love the idea of a very confused Biden write in campaign coming third in the Republican primary

@Lion Well you see, in the 2020 primary, 3rd place went to Democratic candidate Pete Buttigieg (behind Trump and Bill Weld). Several Democrats including him received thousands of write-in votes, even though they’re not Republicans.

If this primary played out the same, Joe Biden could theoretically finish 3rd behind Trump/Haley.

@thepurplebull I Want To Believe

@thepurplebull Yeah, maybe overall, but not NH. Enough people won't be aware that Ramaswamy and DeSantis dropped out or want to show their support anyways or whatever. But I encourage you to buy more Biden.

@thepurplebull btw if you or @Joshua wanted to put a serious position on Biden, I'd put in a limit order at 7%. Just say so, because I'd have to liquidate some of my positions. I could do 2k/150 in about half an hour, 10k/750 in about 12 to 14 hours.

@Lion I for one am only meme-ing

@Lion Someone just added him for the fourth place market too 😂

@Joshua Yippie, I'm in

@thepurplebull All the Democrats who are voting in the Republican primary are already voting for Haley. Apparently that's where lots of her support comes from

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