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MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary?
15
Ṁ275Ṁ529
2028
23%
Pete Buttigieg
22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15%
Other
12%
Gavin Newsom
7%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Gretchen Whitmer
6%
Tim Walz
3%
JB Pritzker
3%
Kamala Harris
1.7%
Wes Moore
1.1%
No one

This market will resolve to the candidate with the greatest number of votes in the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary. In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If no primary is held by September 1st, 2028, this market will resolve to "No one."

Market context
US Politics
Elections
Democratic Party
2028 US Presidential Election
New Hampshire Primary
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New Hampshire is a moderate state to be completely fair, it's not progressive at all, the only reason Bernie Sanders won it is because he was from Vermont, the state over. This is why I don't think AOC is really going to win this state.

@JamesBrownNRnn what if she’s the 1 clear progressive and gets 32% and the rest split the vote 🤔

@Jack1 I mean how many people do you think is going to run for president and survive past South Carolina and Nevada? I'd say maybe 4 max but more like 2 or 3

The thing is, I think all traders will be off base, so I should get a better price later

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 40% order🤖
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