Will Ron DeSantis be one of the top three candidates in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican primary?
287
2.1kṀ140k
resolved Jan 24
Resolved
YES

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predictedYES

YEAHHHHH 2 profit

He's gonna get 1 Desantillion votes

huh

@CC4 never forget Asa bug 2k24

@mattyb Maybe this is the bug and it'll come back 👀

@Joshua If i were an Asa fan I'd say they threw away the ballots

Christie wuz robbed!

too easy

This graph is so funny

👯‍♂

Tiny D’s on the board

@mattyb Strong performance among the Loser League

@MorganTrueblood we noticed hahahaha

@MorganTrueblood Can still place 3rd!

If I know anything about the Republican electorate, the number three candidate will be who over they think it would be funnier to vote for

@DylanSlagha Most of the people not voting Trump probably aren’t established Republicans

@thepurplebull anyone voting in a republican state primary is part of the republican electorate. I never said anything about “established republicans”

predictedYES

Note that Chris Christie was polling almost 2x higher than DeSantis as late as January 10th

DeSantis by a 2x margin at least over Ramaswamy.

So this is now essentially a bet on whether DeSantis or Ramaswamy will have more 1) protest, or 2) mistaken votes. Is that about right?

predictedYES

@DanielLawhon Or people could write in Biden!

predictedNO

@DanielLawhon Or Binkley

Learning experience. I bought 10 units at no because he already dropped out. I take it that the market is catching up?

predictedYES

@JohnCheng He's still on the ballot.

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