Who will be on the TIME 2024 Person of The Year Shortlist?
168
5.6kṀ100k
resolved Dec 10
Resolved
YES
Donald Trump
Resolved
YES
Benjamin Netanyahu
Resolved
YES
Elon Musk
Resolved
YES
Jerome Powell
Resolved
YES
Kamala Harris
Resolved
YES
Yulia Navalnaya
Resolved
YES
Claudia Sheinbaum
Resolved
YES
Kate Middleton
Resolved
YES
Joe Rogan
Resolved
YES
Mark Zuckerberg
Resolved
NO
Joe Biden
Resolved
NO
Sam Altman
Resolved
NO
Xi Jinping
Resolved
NO
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Resolved
NO
The Supreme Court Of The United States
Resolved
NO
Mike Johnson
Resolved
NO
Janet Yellen
Resolved
NO
[Consolidated Victims Of War/Civilians]
Resolved
NO
Narendra Modi
Resolved
NO
Trump Prosecutors

In most past years, TIME has released a shortlist of people they considered naming as person of the year, in addition to the winner. If an answer submitted to this market is on the 2024 POTY list, including the winner, it resolves to YES.

An answer can resolve YES even if TIME does not use the exact wording of the answer, or if that person is a subcategory of a nominated group. The exception to this is if the option says "specifically" like the ChatGPT option does to distinguish it from the overall AI option.

If there is not a shortlist this year, all options resolve N/A except the winner and [There will be no shortlist].

This is an independent free response market, anyone can submit an answer and if other people trade on those answers you will receive unique trader bonuses.

For reference, the 2023 Shortlist was:

You can find other TIME markets by me here:

/Joshua/who-will-be-the-time-person-of-the-6ef43addcc5b

/Joshua/will-an-ai-system-product-company-c-1da3805fb738

/Joshua/which-ai-system-product-company-con

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