Who did Dwarkesh mean by his "biggest guest yet"? [Resolves to "Other" if unknown by June 15th]
19
Ṁ4.2kṀ14kresolved Jun 16
100%97%Other
0.1%
Barack Obama
0.1%
Justin Trudeau
0.4%
Elon Musk
0.1%
Donald Trump
0.1%
Kamala Harris
0.1%
Sam Altman
0.1%
Narendra Modi
0.1%
Xi Jinping
0.1%
Dalai Lama
0.1%
Jeff Bezos
0.1%
Buffett
0.1%
Taylor Swift
0.1%
Joe Biden
0.1%
Lebron James
0.1%
Bill Clinton
0.1%
Gwern Branwen
0.3%
Bill Gates
0.1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
0.1%
Jesus Christ
https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400
Similiar to the mysteriously closed market:
If we still don't know by this market's close, resolves to "other". Maybe he'll tell us at Less Online or Manifest? Comment if you want an option added.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ3,674 | |
| 2 | Ṁ803 | |
| 3 | Ṁ274 | |
| 4 | Ṁ102 | |
| 5 | Ṁ48 |
Sort by:
@Joshua I don't get the argument for why mr.beast has been so large for both markets, unless there's some insider knowledge I'm not aware of.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold agree that Dwarkesh's upcoming guest is "by far [his] biggest yet"? (Resolves to poll)
25% chance
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Who would be Dwarkesh’s “biggest guest yet” if they were interviewed?
Dwarkesh's mystery guest revealed by Aug 21, 2026?
5% chance
Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?
Who will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?