Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Who did Dwarkesh mean by his "biggest guest yet"? [Resolves to "Other" if unknown by June 15th]
19
Ṁ4.2kṀ14k
resolved Jun 16
100%97%Other
0.1%
Barack Obama
0.1%
Justin Trudeau
0.4%
Elon Musk
0.1%
Donald Trump
0.1%
Kamala Harris
0.1%
Sam Altman
0.1%
Narendra Modi
0.1%
Xi Jinping
0.1%
Dalai Lama
0.1%
Jeff Bezos
0.1%
Buffett
0.1%
Taylor Swift
0.1%
Joe Biden
0.1%
Lebron James
0.1%
Bill Clinton
0.1%
Gwern Branwen
0.3%
Bill Gates
0.1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
0.1%
Jesus Christ

https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400

Similiar to the mysteriously closed market:

If we still don't know by this market's close, resolves to "other". Maybe he'll tell us at Less Online or Manifest? Comment if you want an option added.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ3,674
2Ṁ803
3Ṁ274
4Ṁ102
5Ṁ48
Sort by:

Dwarkesh has the opportunity to do the funniest market manipulation.

@Joshua I don't get the argument for why mr.beast has been so large for both markets, unless there's some insider knowledge I'm not aware of.