What day of September will Manifold have the fewest engaged users?
20
closes Oct 1
3
0.1%
4
0.1%
5
0.1%
6
0.1%
7
0.2%
8
0.1%
9
0.1%
10
0.1%
11
0.1%
12
0.1%
13
0.1%
14
0.2%
15
0.2%
16
0.2%
17
0.2%
18
0.2%
19
0.2%
20
0.2%
21
0.5%
22 (The first day of manifest!)
0.2%
23
0.2%
24
0.2%
25
0.3%
26
0.6%
27
15%
28
37%
29
17%
30
27%
What day of September 2023 will Manifold have the lowest number of engaged users according to the engaged user graph on
https://manifold.markets/stats
Answers should be numerical. Example: if the day with the fewest engaged users is September 14, this resolves 14. In case of a tie, resolves equally to all valid answers.
Important: engaged โ active.
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You know there's actually a lot of controversy lately about whether users are discrete or continuous.
Are sep 1/2 not included? So far the data appears to be 1260, 1260, 1256. So Sep 3is the highest of those listed so far, but Sep 1 and Sep 2 were higher.
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Will Manifold have a day below 1150 engaged users in September, after excluding the Ukrainian mana farming operation?