Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?
31
1kṀ5265
2028
19%
Trump wins 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028
79%
Trump wins 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028
0.9%
Trump loses 2024 AND the United States abandons its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028
1.1%
Trump loses 2024 AND the United States does not abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" by 2028

Live-updating visualization of the conditional probabilities and correlation coefficient:

The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets:

/duck/will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres

/MarcusAbramovitch/will-the-united-states-abandon-its-117c19944677

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