If Taylor Swift is the Democratic VP Nominee, will the Democrats win the election? | Manifold

If Taylor Swift is the Democratic VP Nominee, will the Democrats win the election?

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resolved Aug 23

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Resolves N/A if she is not nominated as VP by the end of the Democratic National Convention.

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Genuine question, how is this at 89%? Are people betting it up for fun because they know that won't happen? Or this there a good argument for a VP pick increasing the odds by like 40%?

@NathanScott I can see the angle where if it happened, it meant something really crazy happened that suddenly made her a very viable candidate.

Someone should do the back of the envelope calculation for the change in voter turnout if Swift is a candidate in a nationwide election.

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