Conditional on Taylor Swift being on the Democratic Ticket, will the democrats win the 2024 presidential election?
24
1kṀ3924resolved Nov 7
100%93%
No/No: She won't be on the ticket and Dems lose
0.0%
Yes/Yes: She will be on the ticket and Dems win
0.0%
Yes/No: She will be on the ticket and Dems lose
7%
No/Yes: She won't be on the ticket and Dems win
It'd never happen, but if it did would it work?
(Being on the ticket means being the presidential nominee, or the vice presidential nominee)
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The market currently believes that if Taylor were on the ticket, the dems would be 74% likely to win the election. Sounds like they should do it!
@jacksonpolack ok here's the version you wanted, I actually do think it'd be good to demonstrate the differences between the formats
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