Conditional on Taylor Swift being on the Democratic Ticket, will the democrats win the 2024 presidential election?
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23
แน€1924
Nov 7
0.6%
Yes/Yes: She will be on the ticket and Dems win
0.1%
Yes/No: She will be on the ticket and Dems lose
54%
No/Yes: She won't be on the ticket and Dems win
46%
No/No: She won't be on the ticket and Dems lose

It'd never happen, but if it did would it work?

(Being on the ticket means being the presidential nominee, or the vice presidential nominee)

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The market currently believes that if Taylor were on the ticket, the dems would be 74% likely to win the election. Sounds like they should do it!

what does yes means? that she is running for president?

@jim On the ticket, so includes Vice President.

@Joshua ok thanks (i didnt know what the ticket was)

@jim Edited to clarify

Nicely done.

I wanted to bet it to 100% because it'd resolve N/A :(

@jacksonpolack Simply bet her being on the ticket and dems losing to 0

@jacksonpolack ok here's the version you wanted, I actually do think it'd be good to demonstrate the differences between the formats