Will a Politburo Standing Committee or State Council member get purged in 2024? | Manifold

Will a Politburo Standing Committee or State Council member get purged in 2024?

Plus

11

Ṁ1724

Feb 1

15%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

there needs to be reporting about it being a removal for political reasons, not actually just due to health.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇨🇳 China

#Who does Xi think he is?

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

opened a Ṁ50 YES at 15% order

Can this market be given some time to resolve after it closes?

Like, let's say someone disappears in November, it probably won't be acknowledged in 2024.

@JoshuaWilkes sure that's fair!

I assume this is about China, can you confirm?

@CertaintyOfVictory tag says China, so yeah

@CertaintyOfVictory I'd like a confirmation from the person that opened the market.

predicts NO

@CertaintyOfVictory yes!

predicts NO

@CertaintyOfVictory i guess vietnam has a standing committee too...but na we're PRC with this one

Related questions

Will China become more authoritarian in 2024?

+4% 1d70% chance

Will there be a change in the members of the CCP Politburo Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Will another State Councillor of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Will the 21st Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, to be selected in 2027, include at least one woman?

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?

Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Will any member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Will Hu Chunhua be added to the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Will there be a new dictatorship during 2024

Related questions

Will China become more authoritarian in 2024?

Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Will there be a change in the members of the CCP Politburo Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Will any member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Will another State Councillor of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Will the 21st Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, to be selected in 2027, include at least one woman?

Will Hu Chunhua be added to the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?

Will there be a new dictatorship during 2024

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules