Will the 21st Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, to be selected in 2027, include at least one woman?
5
20
Ṁ51Ṁ110
2028
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Recent politburos have always included at least one woman. The 20th Politburo, chosen in 2022, is the first in decades that does not.
The 20th Politburo was also the first in decades to be headed by the same General Secretary who had headed the previous two, Xi Jinping. It is likely but unknown whether he will still be General Secretary in '27 and beyond.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/23/world/asia/women-china-party-congress.html
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will China have a female leader before 2060?
42% chance
Will any member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?
67% chance
Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?
58% chance
Will China have its first female General Secretary before Russia has its first female President?
36% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2027?
70% chance
Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?
74% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2028?
70% chance
When will the next Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?
40% chance
Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?
63% chance