Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China? | Manifold

Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?

Plus

31

Ṁ13k

2035

57%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Source is IMF. 2023 values are 73.34k for Taiwan and 80.03 for USA. Resolves N/A if China invades Taiwan:

I think this is very likely based on the indicators of economic freedom and IQ, the rate of recent development, and the AI-induced boom in semiconductors.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇨🇳 China

#China Taiwan potential conflict

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

filled a Ṁ1,000 NO at 50% order

@RobertCousineau yet another non-epistemic no limit order. I do not like the new limit order UI/buttons.

I see this is N/A if china invades Taiwan. How fast will the N/A Happen? What if they invade and we quickly realize it won't be that bad for Taiwan and they still surpasses the USA? This still resolves N/A?

predictedYES

@KeenenWatts this resolves N/A when the other linked market resolves YES

Related questions

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?

Will China ever surpass US gdp?

Will China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?

Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?

In which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?

Related questions

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Will China ever surpass US gdp?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

Will China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?

What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?

Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?

In which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules