Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?
21
111
1k
2035
68%
chance

Source is IMF. 2023 values are 73.34k for Taiwan and 80.03 for USA. Resolves N/A if China invades Taiwan:


I think this is very likely based on the indicators of economic freedom and IQ, the rate of recent development, and the AI-induced boom in semiconductors.

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@RobertCousineau yet another non-epistemic no limit order. I do not like the new limit order UI/buttons.

I see this is N/A if china invades Taiwan. How fast will the N/A Happen? What if they invade and we quickly realize it won't be that bad for Taiwan and they still surpasses the USA? This still resolves N/A?

predicts YES

@KeenenWatts this resolves N/A when the other linked market resolves YES