Will any US Presidential candidate get more than 97% of the electoral vote by 2100?
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Plus
12
Ṁ826
2101
22%
chance

The last time this happened was Ronald Reagan in 1984: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1984_United_States_presidential_election

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I could have sworn I read "popular vote". Duh. So much for betting before coffee.

If the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reaches 50%+ of the electoral votes and that is a major reason to reach 97% I assume it’s still a yes?

predicts YES

@JonathanRay Tho if state legislatures have plenary power to appoint electors in contradiction to the state’s voters (which would be required for the legality of the NPVIC) then it would be legal for trump in 2020 to lobby state legislatures to appoint alternate electors. Dems gotta pick a lane on that one.

Local broadcast tv & local newspapers were probably a huge depolarizing force. They had economic incentives to try to appeal to everyone in a broad geographic area. Everything online is much more siloed and niche

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