When will Sam Altman be rehired as CEO of OpenAI?
Basic
18
Ṁ2712
resolved Nov 22
100%98%
before 2027
0.1%
2027-2029
0.1%
2030-2034
0.1%
2035-2040
2%
later/never

For each interval the first number is inclusive and the second number is exclusive

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

As discussed here, this resolution seems premature.

@JonathanRay do you want this to be unresolved?

@chrisjbillington The media are reporting this as a sure thing, but I’ll re-resolve if necessary

@JonathanRay FWIW a statement from the company's official X account carries quite a lot of weight in my book, I think a YES resolution is not necessarily premature.

@HenriThunberg the statement isn't in doubt, it's just that it's not a statement of him actually being CEO, it's an agreement in principle. The last few days are a good lesson in how non-final things can be.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules