resolves Yes if FairlyRandom rolls a 20 out of 20. Otherwise resolves No.
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@JonathanRay your random number is: 7
Salt: R8wS9pVc3dYzMcleINbk, round: 3622942 (signature 94087fca95b4051afb32bef42b9e4a6bcdc5f8aac581207db8c56feaed66297615fdc9741fa5a25accbb2fd5f3a6fc100d3fd71844ed371f697726d41aacc5e75fe0f0b92fbe04947d5b53cf24437141126444e060fde7871fa531704cf64fba)
@JonathanRay you asked for a random integer between 1 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 3622940 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 3622942, salt: R8wS9pVc3dYzMcleINbk.
@NathanpmYoung It's a measure of opportunity costs, aka discount rates. It's how high an interest rate the market will pay for a theoretical investment that is completely riskless. It's greater than zero because there are lots of other investments that you can buy instead that have some small risk but greater returns.
On Manifold, that is well approximated by buying NO on a question that is guaranteed to resolve NO e.g. https://manifold.markets/jack/this-question-will-resolve-no-on-se (it's pretty close to risk-free because the admins can resolve it if the author disappears or misresolves).
resolves Yes if the last 2023 bitcoin block hash is equal to zero mod 20. Otherwise resolves No.
FYI, we have a convenient bot @FairlyRandom you can use to generate public randomness more easily