Multi-market for Total Fertility Rate in each country in 2050 among HS grad women (x25)
Basic
3
Ṁ3032051
59%
Egypt
59%
Pakistan
54%
Saudi Arabia
50%
Indonesia
45%
Bangladesh
43%
Turkey
42%
India
41%
France
40%
Iran
39%
Germany
39%
Brazil
38%
Russia
37%
United Kingdom
37%
Mexico
37%
USA
35%
Canada
35%
Australia
35%
Poland
33%
Japan
32%
Thailand
Each market should be the name of a country. Resolves PROB to TFR * 25. If the named country doesn't exist in 2050, it resolves N/A and the successor country resolves PROB.
Replacement = 2.1 TFR = 52.5%
Only women with at least the equivalent of a high school diploma are counted, so countries can't goodhart this by importing a religious fundamentalist underclass
I started by listing the top 25 countries by total GDP (PPP), but anyone can add addititional countries.
[edit: if a country has no stats breaking down TFR by educational attainment, it resolves N/A]
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the fertility rate of South Korea increase from 2023 to 2025?
20% chance
What will US total fertility rate be in 2030
1.5
When will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level?
Will any EU country achieve fertility rate >=2.0 by the end of 2032?
21% chance
Will Japanese Total Fertility be below 1.2 by 2030?
62% chance
Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?
44% chance
How will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]
GDP per capita per country in 2050
Will South Korea's total fertility rate exceed 1 by 2035
30% chance
Will Any Top-8 Economy See Its Birthrate Rise 5% from Its Lowest post-2015 Point by 2025?
33% chance