Will Japanese Total Fertility be below 1.2 by 2030?
Basic
7
Ṁ1602029
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Japan's total fertility rate (TFR) will be below 1.2 on 1/1/2030. Data according to World Bank: https://datacommons.org/tools/timeline#&place=country/JPN&statsVar=FertilityRate_Person_Female
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@wglane Does this market check one singular data point on 1/1/2030? Or all data points through time up until that point?
Related questions
Related questions
Will the fertility rate of South Korea increase from 2023 to 2025?
16% chance
Will Japan continue to have negative population growth every year through 2050?
67% chance
When will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level?
Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?
44% chance
Will South Korea's total fertility rate exceed 1 by 2035
30% chance
Will Japan have a bigger population than Russia in 2050?
39% chance
Will China have fewer than 8.5 million live births in 2024?
39% chance
Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2027?
23% chance
Will the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?
20% chance
What will US total fertility rate be in 2030
1.5