If Boris is not the leader of the Tories, will they win a majority in the next general election?
20
1kṀ15k
resolved Sep 4
Resolved
NO
This market resolves to YES if Boris is not leader of the Tories for the next general election and they win a majority in parliament. This market resolves to NO if Boris is not leader of the Tories for the next general election and they don't win a majority in parliament. This market resolves to NA if Boris is leader of the Tories for the next general election. See paired market: https://manifold.markets/JonathanNankivell/if-boris-is-still-the-leader-of-the
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@mods this really should be closed and resolved as NO. people seem to be betting on this mistakenly thinking it's about the next general election (i.e in 5 years) not this year's election that has already happened.

opened a Ṁ1 NO at 3% order

This market resolves to NO if Boris is not leader of the Tories for the next general election and they don't win a majority in parliament.

So this Resolves NO. Rishi was the captain that finally crashed the plane. @JonathanNankivell

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