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MANIFOLD
IF Andy Burnham leads Labour into the next General Election, will Labour win?
2
Ṁ125Ṁ257
2029
18%
Labour WINS next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, under FPTP)
28%
Labour LOSES next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, using FPTP)
5%
Labour wins next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, but NOT using FPTP)
7%
Labour loses next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, but NOT using FPTP)
43%
Andy Burnham does not lead Labour into the next General Election

‘Win’ means wins the most seats in parliament.

I have included as separate scenarios the possibility that he might change the voting system (to something other than FPTP) before the next General Election.

Market context
Politics
Elections
UK Politics
UK
Labour Party (UK)
Voting reform
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