Conditional on authorisation, will SpaceX attempt an orbital flight of Starship before May?

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Ṁ23k

resolved Apr 24

Resolved

YES

ALL

Almost orbital counts as orbital for the purposes of this question

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predictedYES

Resolves Yes

predictedYES

Do you count a scrub as an attempt?

@Mqrius I don't think a scrub should count - they've got to try to get off the ground

Conditional on authorization when?

What if the authorization comes on the last day of April and they don’t launch that same day?

predictedYES

Conditional on authorization before May. I.e., this market is conditional on [this other market](https://manifold.markets/JonathanNankivell/will-the-faa-authorise-starship-to) resolving YES.

If authorisation comes on the last day of April and they don't launch on the same day, this question resolves NO

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