Conditional on authorisation, will SpaceX attempt an orbital flight of Starship before May?

21

410Ṁ23k

resolved Apr 24

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Almost orbital counts as orbital for the purposes of this question

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predictedYES

@JonathanNankivell resolution please

Resolves Yes

predictedYES

/Mqrius/will-starship-launch-on-its-first-a

Do you count a scrub as an attempt?

@Mqrius I don't think a scrub should count - they've got to try to get off the ground

Conditional on authorization when?

What if the authorization comes on the last day of April and they don’t launch that same day?

predictedYES

Conditional on authorization before May. I.e., this market is conditional on [this other market](https://manifold.markets/JonathanNankivell/will-the-faa-authorise-starship-to) resolving YES.

If authorisation comes on the last day of April and they don't launch on the same day, this question resolves NO

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Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?

Will Starship conduct a manned launch before 2025?

By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

Related questions

Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?

Will Starship conduct a manned launch before 2025?

By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

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