Conditional on authorisation, will SpaceX attempt an orbital flight of Starship before May?
21
26
410
resolved Apr 24
Resolved
YES

Almost orbital counts as orbital for the purposes of this question

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predicted YES

@JonathanNankivell resolution please

bought Ṁ500 of YES

Resolves Yes

bought Ṁ30 of YES

Do you count a scrub as an attempt?

@Mqrius I don't think a scrub should count - they've got to try to get off the ground

Conditional on authorization when?

What if the authorization comes on the last day of April and they don’t launch that same day?

predicted YES

Conditional on authorization before May. I.e., this market is conditional on [this other market](https://manifold.markets/JonathanNankivell/will-the-faa-authorise-starship-to) resolving YES.

If authorisation comes on the last day of April and they don't launch on the same day, this question resolves NO