Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing. Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
Sources. Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ). Post-IPO market cap is public daily via standard market data. A single credible report is sufficient to resolve a threshold YES if not contradicted. Analyst estimates do not trigger resolution.
See also:
/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-sLNqnZzNQg (this market)
/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end
/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-NdEUcRyhds
/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-OzEn5Onucd
/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-qNOC0LpsRN
/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-SL8uUthtc9
/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-pqg5Al80tp
/Bayesian/openai-highest-valuation-by-end-of-2lnAgSs6st
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