Will there be a collapse of a country in the next 100 years?

350Ṁ830

resolved Oct 19

Resolved as

90%

ALL

Dynasties and Kingdoms have collapsed, but can countries collapse in this modern environment? By 'collapsed', I mean the country stopped to function as a country, or arent recognized as a country, or some terribly drastic thing results in similar results as in a dynasty/kingdom collapsing.

Resolves to market % at close.

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US Politics

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Interesting question, but resolving to market percent is just an invitation for a whale to set it to whatever they want with no relation to the question itself.

I mean, I'd argue that it's happened quite a few times over the last 50 years (USSR, Yugoslavia, Somalia, Haiti, Zaire, Libya), and so is likely to happen again in the future, but since this is resolving to market % at close, I don't see any point on betting on it.

type of guy who brings an empire down just to win this market

State recoognition is irrevocable. For a modern state to cease to exist, either its territory needs to be absorbed by another state (and neighbors of failing states like Haiti and Somalia are not keen on grabbing their territory), or they need to declare themselves extinct (which they can't do because they don't have the capacity to act as a state).