How many total casualties will there be in the Lebanon-Israeli conflict. Total from both sides including civilians.
22
10kṀ14kresolved Dec 1
100%71%
1000-10000
3%
0-1000
11%
10000-20000
9%
20000-50000
6%
>50000
Question will stay open until a cease fire deal is agreed to, Isreal leaves Lebanese territory, or a relatively stable status quo with less than 10 casualties a week. Will resolve based on reporting from a source I deem reliable. The Economist or BBC preferred but will use WSJ, NYT, WashPo if needed. I will not bet.
Edit: The start date of the current round of conflict is 8/10/23 and I will do my best to find a reliable source that includes casualties from that date.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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