When will Scott Aaronson write about Shanghai University's claim to have broken RSA with D-Wave's quantum computer?
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1.1%
By the end of the week (October 14th-18th)
1.1%
Over the weekend(October 19th-21st)
8%
Late October 2024 (22nd-31st)
7%
November 2024
7%
December 2024
7%
Q1 2025 (January-March)
7%
Q2 2025(April-June)
7%
End of 2025(July-December)
53%
Nothing by the end of 2025
Wang Chao and Shanghai University claim to have broken a 22-bit RSA key with a D-Wave 'quantum computer'. D-Wave has been the frequent subject of scorn from Scott Aaronson, who is very skeptical of their claims to achieve quantum speedups on meaningful problems, e.g. in 2017. How long will it be before he says something about this?
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