How many collisions will there be involving commercial aircraft from Feb. 6 through the end of 2025?
7
1kṀ658
2026
37%
0
20%
1
14%
2
10%
3
10%
4
9%
5 or more

Includes collisions on the ground or in the air involving one or more commercial aircraft. Resolves by the end of 2025 on news reports from at least one of:

• ABC

• CBS

• NBC

• PBS

• NPR

• CNN

• Fox

• MSNBC

• Associated Press

• New York Times

• Washington Examiner

• Wall Street Journal

• New York Post

• USA Today

  • Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria:

    • Only collisions involving verifiably commercial aircraft count.

    • Incidents where the involved aircraft are not commercial in nature (for example, those highlighted in the referenced tweet) should be excluded from the count.

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