How many collisions will there be involving commercial aircraft from Feb. 6 through the end of 2025?
10
1kṀ945
resolved Jan 1
100%60%
0
12%
1
8%
2
7%
3
7%
4
6%
5 or more

Includes collisions on the ground or in the air involving one or more commercial aircraft. Resolves by the end of 2025 on news reports from at least one of:

• ABC

• CBS

• NBC

• PBS

• NPR

• CNN

• Fox

• MSNBC

• Associated Press

• New York Times

• Washington Examiner

• Wall Street Journal

• New York Post

• USA Today

  • Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria:

    • Only collisions involving verifiably commercial aircraft count.

    • Incidents where the involved aircraft are not commercial in nature (for example, those highlighted in the referenced tweet) should be excluded from the count.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ206
2Ṁ160
3Ṁ43
4Ṁ36
5Ṁ35
Sort by:

(Deleted comment)

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy