Will Kalshi have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election?
30
134
1.2K
2025
6%
chance

[12/10 EDIT] It should be possible to access the markets legally from within the US.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8780-23

CFTC says no

Edit: this is about congressional control markets, not presidential elections, but people seem to be discussing it as if it rules out the latter as well. Not sure why.

does this market itself have to be available within the US to qualify or would a market only available in limited jurisdictions qualify?

predicts YES

@EdwardKmett should be available in the US. Will edit description to clarify. Thanks for flagging!

predicts YES

Kalshi recently applied for approval for Control of Congress markets for the midterms https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/regulatory/notices/CONGRESS%20for%20posting.pdf