Will Kalshi's presidential election market prices converge with Polymarket by October 15?
13
1kṀ4366resolved Oct 15
Resolved
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Resolves yes If the Harris Yes position on Kalshi's presidential market trades within plus/minus 1% (1 cent) of the equivalent Polymarket position throughout October 15.
The last traded prices will be used, but if they are not available, the midpoint of ask/bid will be used to substitute. If the the total prices of Harris + Trump exceed 100, I will normalize so that Harris_price / (Harris_price+Trump_price) is used.
If either market does not trade on that day, the market will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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