Which of the following will be true about the next major AI breakthrough? (after test-time compute)
Which of the following will be true about the next major AI breakthrough? (after test-time compute)
1
1kṀ2
2030
50%
It will allow AI models to hallucinate much less
50%
It will allow AI models to become much better at working with long-context
50%
It will allow AI models to use long context more efficiently
50%
It will make AI models better at making art (creative writing, visual art)
50%
It will make make AI models better at visual reasoning
50%
it will make AI models better at agentic tasks (such as OSWorld and SWE-bench)
50%
It will make AI models much better at answering competitive math questions
50%
It will allow AI models to learn at test time

Whether something counts as a breakthrough is according to my subjective judgement. Some examples of things I consider breakthroughs:

  1. Transformer architecture

  2. RLHF

  3. Test-time compute

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