This market will resolve to "Yes" if any artificial satellite constructed by humans and in orbit above the Kármán line (an altitude of 100 km [62 mi] above sea level) is intentionally and nonconsensually damaged to the point of nonfunction, destroyed, or otherwise brought out of orbit via offensive actions perpetrated by any individual or group between May 22, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official statements by involved parties and a consensus of credible reporting
1,000
3.00If an artificial satellite is damaged or destroyed without consent due to an attack within the specified time, the market will resolve as "Yes." Data from reliable reports will serve as the basis for the decision. Such an event can be closely monitored, just like when playing some io games, where every action can greatly affect the overall outcome.
@JuhoPennanen Idk why anyone bet anything, I've not bet on my market, however a string of articles around this particular info is what spurred this market's creation: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cq55ww5j7e2o
@RemNi It should exclude a nation specifically and intentionally shooting down its own satellite, yes.