Will Taiwan successfully demonstrate an anti-satellite capability before 2035? | Manifold

Will Taiwan successfully demonstrate an anti-satellite capability before 2035?

Basic

1

Ṁ10

2035

41%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This would presumably be a rocket/missile, but doesn't have to be. The key point is whether Taiwan credibly demonstrates the ability to disable a satellite (by actually doing so).

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