Will Trump significantly expand high-skill immigration by the end of 2026?
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Plus
7
Ṁ492
2027
38%
chance

This will resolve based on a holistic assessment, but the following factors could contribute to a YES resolution:

  • Increase in absolute number of H1B visas granted

  • No decrease in O-1 visas, or an increase

  • Increase in absolute number of EB-1, EB-2, and EB-3 visas

  • Other pathways for high skill individuals to get visas, like work authorization

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bought Ṁ30 YES

It would make sense, but it's unclear how that would pass congress / somehow fit the party's messaging

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