
Will AI agents be able to regularly code small features for us in a year?
334
20kṀ490kresolved Jul 4
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'm thinking of something like https://mentat.ai/, but that actually works.
I will provide a paragraph or so describing the change I want made. Then it should create a GitHub PR, which I will review and leave only a few comments before merging. The whole process should take less than 30 minutes. This should work fairly reliably.
I tried this yesterday and it failed haha:
https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/manifold/pull/2694
See more discussion in my post:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ29,803 | |
2 | Ṁ6,448 | |
3 | Ṁ5,174 | |
4 | Ṁ4,766 | |
5 | Ṁ2,413 |
People are also trading
Related questions
On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?
70% chance
Will an AI system be able to fully refactor a 10k+ line codebase before 2026 ?
29% chance
Will there be entry-level AI coders by 2026?
67% chance
Will Meta have a "mid-level" AI engineer that can write code by the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027
33% chance
Will AI be able to write, compile, and unit test a single .c file to reproduce GPT-2 training from PyTorch code by 2026?
70% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?
24% chance
Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?
56% chance
Will AI be capable of fast self improvement before physical AI robots are massively used for improving AI capabilities?
87% chance
Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?
46% chance